2026 FIFA World Cup โ Live Odds & Prediction Markets on Polymarket
The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off on June 11 across the USA, Mexico, and Canada. 48 teams. 104 matches. The biggest sporting event on the planet. And every outcome is tradeable on Polymarket right now.
Live odds, team breakdowns, and market analysis – all updated throughout the tournament.
Who Wins the 2026 World Cup? โ Live Polymarket Odds
๐ช๐ธ Spain
16%
Tournament favorite
๐ง๐ท Brazil
9%
Ancelotti’s new project
๐ซ๐ท France
16%
The deepest squad alive
๐ต๐น Portugal
8%
Ronaldo’s last world cup?
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England
11%
Football’s coming home?
๐ฉ๐ช Germany
5%
Never again
๐ฆ๐ท Argentina
9%
Defending champions
๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands
3%
Best team never to win it
Odds shown are live Polymarket probabilities. Updated in real time โ check Polymarket for the latest figures.
Title Contenders โ Full Team Analysis
๐ช๐ธ Spain
The most complete national team on the planet. Euro 2024 champions, FIFA #1 ranked. With Lamine Yamal, Rodri, and Pedri leading an extraordinary midfield, Spain have no meaningful weakness. The odds-on favorite โ and deservedly so.
๐ซ๐ท France
The deepest squad in the world. Mbappรฉ, Dembรฉlรฉ, Olise โ the talent is almost unfair. France’s one vulnerability: a 0-0 knockout game in the 60th minute against a well-organised mid-block. If the individual brilliance arrives on schedule, they win this.
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England
The first European nation ever to win all qualifying matches without conceding. Tuchel’s system has finally given England a tactical identity. Kane, Bellingham, Saka, Foden โ the talent is there. The moment is now.
๐ฆ๐ท Argentina
Defending champions. Won the last two Copa Amรฉricas. Scaloni’s squad is increasingly less Messi-dependent โ they routed Brazil 4-1 without him. History says no team retains the World Cup. But Argentina have never cared much about history.
๐ง๐ท Brazil
Five-time champions, now under Ancelotti. Vinรญcius Jr, Endrick, Alisson โ the talent for a deep run is undeniable. Whether Ancelotti can fix the defensive holes before June 11 is the question the whole tournament is watching.
๐ต๐น Portugal
Nations League 2025 champions โ beat Spain on penalties in the final. Bruno Fernandes, Joรฃo Neves, Ronaldo at 41. The trophy has always eluded Portugal. This is their strongest squad yet
Strong Challengers
๐ฉ๐ช Germany
Four-time champions with back-to-back group stage humiliations in 2018 and 2022. Nagelsmann has rebuilt around Musiala and Wirtz โ two of the most gifted young midfielders in world football. The anger burns through this squad.
๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands
The best team to never win the World Cup. Van Dijk, Gakpo, Gravenberch โ unbeaten in qualifying. Three runner-up finishes and still no trophy. Semi-final contenders at minimum.
๐บ๐ธ USA โ Co-hosts
The hosts. The underdogs. The most-watched team in the building.
Other Markets to Trade
Beyond the tournament winner, Polymarket has live markets on:
- Group stage outcomes โ will the USA finish top of Group D?
- Player markets โ will Messi play in the 2026 World Cup? (currently 93%)
- Match-by-match markets โ available from June 11 kick-off
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Trading World Cup prediction markets takes 3 minutes to set up. All you need is an email address.
Independent fan site โ not affiliated with Polymarket. Odds update in real time โ check Polymarket for the latest figures.